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Five signs Boris Johnson's leadership of the Conservative Party could now be in danger
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Five signs Boris Johnson's leadership of the Conservative Party could now be in danger

The Prime Minister's internal opponents are starting to get restless.

Adam Bienkov
Nov 18, 2021
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Boris Johnson’s leadership of the Conservative Party really shouldn’t be in question given that it is less than two years since he won a huge general election majority.

And yet after a brutal few weeks in Parliament, his grip on his party is looking weaker than ever before.

Johnson’s botched attempt to save Owen Paterson from suspension and his retreat against Labour Party calls for restrictions on second jobs for MPs, have deeply angered his own party.

Here are five signs that suggest Johnson could be in much more trouble than we realise.

His own supporters are deserting him

Twitter avatar for @AdamBienkovAdam Bienkov @AdamBienkov
In 15 years of watching PMQs I've never seen a prime minister get such a poor turnout of their own MPs sat behind them.
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November 17th 2021

493 Retweets2,611 Likes

Prime Minister’s Questions is normally an opportunity for ambitious Conservative backbenchers to ask planted questions about how brilliantly the government and its prime minister is doing.

Not only were such questions in short supply on Wednesday, but so were the MPs available to ask them.

In fifteen years of following PMQs I have never seen such sparse government benches than during Wednesday’s session.

And most of those who did attend looked deeply unhappy.

Potential successors are testing the water

The chaos of recent weeks has led to some of Johnson’s internal opponents to start organising against him.

Recent reports suggest the efforts are being led by former ministers including Gavin Williamson, who was sacked by Johnson earlier this year.

Already this is leading to the beginnings of what could eventually become fully-fledged leadership campaigns, with some likely candidates already doing the rounds among MPs as the Guardian’s Aubrey Allegretti has reported.

Twitter avatar for @breeallegrettiAubrey Allegretti @breeallegretti
Observation from a Tory MP earlier today: “People are in the tea room who aren’t normally there unless there’s a leadership bid.”

November 17th 2021

520 Retweets2,091 Likes

Briefings against Johnson are getting worse

Johnson on Wednesday evening met with Conservative MPs and admitted his handling of the Owen Paterson debacle had been like “crashing a car into a ditch.”

Before leaving the meeting, MPs were warned not to talk to journalists, like myself, who were stood outside.

Twitter avatar for @AdamBienkovAdam Bienkov @AdamBienkov
Conservative MPs told not to speak to journalists after leaving their 1922 Committee meeting with Boris Johnson.

November 17th 2021

1,296 Retweets5,183 Likes

However, it didn’t take long before one particularly brutal assessment of Johnson’s performance made it way to the BBC’s political editor Laura Kuennsberg.

Twitter avatar for @bbclaurakLaura Kuenssberg @bbclaurak
After PMQs, then Liaison Committe, PM then went to face his own MPs at the 1922 committee - one texts to say, he 'looked weak and sounded weak' , 'authority is evaporating'

November 17th 2021

1,276 Retweets5,261 Likes

This in turn led to a (later deleted) tweet from the Culture Secretary Nadine Dorries in which she appeared to criticise Kuennsberg for daring to repeat what she had heard from a Conservative MP.

Twitter avatar for @AdamBienkovAdam Bienkov @AdamBienkov
Just the Culture Secretary there, trying to police what the BBC's political editor should and shouldn't be tweeting.
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November 17th 2021

1,263 Retweets5,102 Likes

Dorries, on Thursday, was later forced to row back from her tweet, telling the House of Commons that she “was not rebuking Laura Kuennsberg and never would,” while insisting that the BBC’s political editor was “the best in the business.”

None of this is a good sign of Johnson’s authority over his party.

Conservative MPs openly speaking out against the prime minister

The most telling moment from PMQs on Wednesday came when Conservative MP Jake Berry, formally a loyal supporter of Johnson, stood up to attack Johnson’s U-turn on his broken transport promises to Northern constituencies.

Twitter avatar for @LabForGovLabForGov 🌹🇬🇧 @LabForGov
A significant moment you may have missed at the end of #PMQs - gasps across the House as Conservative MP Jake Berry calls out the Prime Minister on his broken promise to the North. #NorthernPowerhouseRail

November 17th 2021

43 Retweets178 Likes

When Johnson’s decision to scrap his promise to build a high speed rail route between Leeds and Manchester was confirmed on Thursday, it led to an instant fury from a number of Conservative MPs from Northern constituencies.

As Huw Merriman put it to the Transport Secretary Grant Shapps: "this is the danger in selling perpetual sunlight and leaving it for others to explain the arrival of moonlight."

Twitter avatar for @AdamBienkovAdam Bienkov @AdamBienkov
Conservative MP Huw Merriman attacks Boris Johnson's broken promise to deliver high speed rail for the North. "This is the danger in selling perpetual sunlight and leaving it for others to explain the arrival of moonlight."

November 18th 2021

20 Retweets62 Likes

Giving into demands for apologies

Throughout his career Johnson has been almost entirely resistant to demands that he should apologise for wrongdoing, in the apparent belief that such apologies are a sign of weakness.

This “never complain, never explain” attitude almost came to an end this week however.

After being repeatedly called on to apologise for his role in the Paterson debacle, Johnson belatedly admitted his actions had been a “mistake” and compared it to crashing his car into a ditch.

He also admitted on Wednesday that he had been wrong to take off his mask during a visit to Hexham hospital last week, despite his spokespeople previously repeatedly denying he had broken any rules on the trip.

Twitter avatar for @AdamBienkovAdam Bienkov @AdamBienkov
On his visit to Hexham hospital Boris Johnson claims that “there was barely 30 seconds when I wasn’t wearing a mask… and I apologised for it.” Until this moment Downing Street has not even admitted that he broke the rules.
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November 17th 2021

27 Retweets73 Likes

As Daniel Finkelstein wrote in the Times this week, such apologies rarely help politicians, and often just make things worse for them.

The fact that Johnson feels he has to now start admitting his own mistakes, suggests that even he now realises the trouble he has got himself into.

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